TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Washington Commanders will win by more than 2.5 points against the New York Giants. Currently, the probability of the Commanders winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 87.0%. The resolution source for this market is the final score difference in the NY Giants vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, with a ‘Yes’ resolution if the Commanders win by more than 20.5 points. Keep a close watch on the outcome of the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final score will determine market settlement.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each corresponding to a specific point differential threshold in the NY Giants vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team achieves a victory by more than the specified point margin, and 'No' otherwise. Markets are divided into two categories: those where WAS Commanders win by a margin greater than a specified value (ranging from 1.5 to 20.5 points), and those where NY Giants win by a margin greater than a specified value (ranging from 1.5 to 14.5 points). All markets share identical secondary disclaimers stating that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution depends solely on the official game result as recorded by the league.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If significant differences emerge between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or possess unique insights.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established by official NFL results will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game between the NY Giants and the WAS Commanders, as reported by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either the NY Giants or the WAS Commanders would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching announcements or shifts in team strategy could also cause traders to reassess their positions. Any major news related to team performance or public sentiment could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.