TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between two professional teams. The outcome depends solely on the performance during that quarter, not the overall game result. Points scored in other quarters are irrelevant to this determination.
This market determines the winner of the third quarter in the NY Giants vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. The market resolves based on which team scores the most points exclusively during the third quarter of play. If Washington scores more points than the New York Giants in that quarter, the Washington market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the New York Giants score more points than Washington in the third quarter, the New York Giants market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points during the third quarter, neither team market resolves to Yes; instead, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward this determination, and the overall game outcome is irrelevant. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional point spreads, though initial sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team winning the third quarter. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing means the market can react quickly to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Giants and Commanders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the third quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game results will be used to determine which team secured the highest score during that specific period. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on readily available, objective data. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are officially announced.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Giants or Commanders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before kickoff could also play a role. Finally, even public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere can influence traders' behavior and shift the price of this market.