TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the New York Giants and Washington Commanders during the third quarter of their football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the specified football game. Each market has a unique threshold, and if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the third quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, each evaluating a different point total benchmark.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market represents the probability of an outcome as assessed by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, and can sometimes offer insights that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The market price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, and the platform facilitates the matching of buyers and sellers to execute trades.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Giants-Commanders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Giants or Commanders would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about scoring. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, as the game approaches, large-volume trades from informed participants could indicate shifts in sentiment and cause price fluctuations.