TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the New York Giants and Washington Commanders score together in the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold, so bettors can choose how high they think the combined score will be.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined second-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the combined points are equal to or below the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and the markets are resolved based on the official game result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events, as traders incorporate new data and insights into their assessments of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will reflect the collective belief of the traders on Kalshi regarding the total points scored in the 2nd quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 2nd quarter between the NY Giants and the Washington Commanders will determine the result. The total points scored by both teams during that specific quarter will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. It’s important to note that official sources will be used to verify the final score and ensure accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Giants or Commanders would likely cause price movement. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the scoring potential and shift trader sentiment. Major strategic announcements from either coaching staff, or even in-game performance during the 1st quarter, could lead to adjustments in the price of contracts. Public perception and breaking news related to team morale or coaching changes could also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.