TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between two professional teams. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during the latter half of the match, excluding any points scored in the first half.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the second half of the designated football game, including any overtime period. If one team outscores the other in the second half, that team's market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the second half, all team markets resolve to No and the Tie market resolves to Yes. The contest is strictly limited to points scored after the halftime break, with no consideration given to the first half's performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome, creating a potentially more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets responding to new information as it becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the Giants winning the second half. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling of 'yes' contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market efficiently incorporates new information as it emerges, making it a dynamic representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the second half of the Giants-Commanders game will determine the outcome. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome will be triggered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Giants or Commanders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the price. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to fluctuations in this market.