TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the New York Giants and Washington Commanders will score together in the second half of their football game on October 11, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second half of play, including any overtime periods. Each market features a specific numerical threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed the stated threshold (3.5, 7.5, 10.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, 24.5, 28.5, 31.5, 35.5, 38.5, or 42.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the second half count toward these thresholds, regardless of the first-half performance. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold operates under its own condition and resolution criteria.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, however, allows anyone to trade contracts, so the price reflects a broader range of information and perspectives. While sportsbooks may offer similar markets, the pricing mechanism and resulting odds can differ significantly, with Kalshi providing a unique view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible total scores for the second half of the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher total, the price of those contracts increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price reflects the collective belief of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the second half of the NY Giants versus WAS Commanders game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total will receive a payout, while those with opposing contracts will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Giants or Commanders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift market sentiment. Even significant public betting patterns in sportsbooks could indirectly influence trading on Kalshi as traders react to broader market perceptions.