TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, reflecting expectations about how high-scoring the opening quarter might be.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves as 'Yes.' If the combined score does not exceed the threshold, the market resolves as 'No.' All thresholds are evaluated independently, meaning each market operates under its own condition regardless of other thresholds. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution, and no points from subsequent quarters or overtime periods are considered. The markets are speculative instruments tracking scoring expectations and do not reflect any official league rules or affiliations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes the value lies compared to traditional betting venues, and whether public sentiment aligns with expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, making it a unique gauge of expectations for the Giants-Commanders game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the NY Giants versus Washington Commanders game will be used to determine the result. The market will settle based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result and confirm their positions are settled accordingly shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Giants or Commanders would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting shifts in collective sentiment.