TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 8:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Game outcome (Nuggets vs Timberwolves) resolves based on final score including all overtime periods
- Spread market (Timberwolves -1.5) resolves to Timberwolves if they win by 2+ points; otherwise Nuggets; ties resolve to Nuggets
- Totals markets (O/U 229.5, 230.5, 232.5) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold plus one; Under otherwise
- Individual player performance markets (points, assists, rebounds O/U thresholds) resolve Yes if player exceeds stated threshold, No if at or below threshold
- Kalshi assists markets resolve Yes if player records at or above the specified assist threshold
- All player performance markets resolve No if player is listed inactive or does not take the court
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. Resolution occurs once the game is played.
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 across both platforms.
- Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court at any point, all player performance markets (points, assists, rebounds) resolve to No.
- Spread Tie: If the game ends in a tie, the Timberwolves -1.5 spread market resolves to Nuggets (the non-favored team).
- Overtime Inclusion: All scoring, assists, and rebounds are counted across the entire game including any overtime periods.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately upon completion of the game on April 25, 2026, based on the official final box score published on NBA.com. If postponed, resolution is deferred until the makeup game is completed.Follow the signals, not the noise
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