TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Nuggets vs. Thunder
polymarket

Who will win Nuggets vs Thunder?

Volume:
$7,877,751

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

 - Polymarket

Spread: Thunder (-8.5) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 12:37 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,213,825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$348,082
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$229,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4Q Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alex Caruso: Assists O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 11.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jalen Williams: Points O/U 19.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alex Caruso: Points O/U 4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Race to 30

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 356

Intro

This market tracks whether the Oklahoma City Thunder’s team total points in their game against the Denver Nuggets will be over or under 117.5, as reported by the NBA. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the “Thunder Team Total: O/U 117.5” outcome. The resolution source for this market is https://www.nba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET, as the outcome will depend on the final score and this market will remain open until the game has been completed if postponed.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Nuggets-Thunder game market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $7,877,751 with $7,846,796 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely result of the game and allows you to monitor market activity.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their liabilities and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or lineup changes – this market can react more quickly and efficiently than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of the game’s outcome.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and the collective opinions of participants. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome will drive up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nuggets versus Thunder game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. The final score and winner will be used to determine which outcome in this market is considered correct. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Nuggets or the Thunder would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected coaching decisions, significant shifts in team performance in recent games, or even public statements from players or coaches could also influence trader sentiment. Major betting trends or large volume trades on Polymarket could also signal shifts in market expectations and lead to price movements.