TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming NRL match between Sydney Roosters and Newcastle Knights, scheduled for October 4 2026.
This event is for the upcoming NRL match between Sydney Roosters and Newcastle Knights, scheduled for October 4 2026.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the perceived public betting patterns, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trades. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different interpretation of the same data. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment. The current trading volume and price fluctuations provide insights into how traders perceive the likelihood of each team winning the Roosters vs Knights match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roosters vs Knights match as reported by the NRL. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would likely cause immediate price adjustments. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the match could also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives and expert opinions. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.