TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 7:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second map in a professional Dota 2 match between Novus Gaming and Team Nemesis Academy. The result depends on which team secures a victory in that specific map during the scheduled tournament. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific handling for match disruptions.
The event resolves based on which team wins the second map in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia 2026 match between Novus Gaming and Team Nemesis Academy, scheduled for October 23, 2026. If Novus Gaming wins map 2, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Team Nemesis Academy wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism that aims to accurately reflect the collective forecast for the Novus Gaming vs. Team Nemesis match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of map 2 in the Novus Gaming vs. Team Nemesis match will determine the settlement of this market. The result will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is announced and verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Novus Gaming or Team Nemesis Academy could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, in-game performance during other matches in the tournament, or even general esports news, could indirectly affect how traders value the chances of each team winning map 2. Major upsets in related matches could lead to reassessment of team strengths.