TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Novara and Cittadella. Bettors can speculate on whether Novara, Cittadella, or a tied result will occur after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time on the scheduled date. The resolution depends purely on the regulation time result, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Novara vs Cittadella professional Serie C soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Novara market occurs if Novara wins in regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Cittadella occurs if Cittadella wins in regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s procedures. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect any market outcomes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public enthusiasm for a particular outcome. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, as the market may be mispricing the probability of an event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a constantly updated forecast. The current volume suggests a degree of interest in the event, but it’s important to monitor price movements to understand how the market is interpreting available data.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Novara vs Cittadella match, as determined by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and established sports results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, especially if they favor one team’s playing style over another. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader league standings could indirectly affect market sentiment. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.