TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This outcome hinges on the result of the first map in the same Nova Esports GC versus SK Nebula Valorant match. The contest, set for October 22, 2026, forms part of the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026, with the winner of this initial map determining the market resolution.
If Nova Esports GC wins map 1 in the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026: Nova Esports GC vs. SK Nebula Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If SK Nebula wins map 1 in the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026: Nova Esports GC vs. SK Nebula Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates how strongly traders feel about each outcome. Higher volume at specific price points suggests greater conviction.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of map 1 in the Nova Esports GC versus SK Nebula CS2 match. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning contract. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for Nova Esports GC or SK Nebula could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of team strength. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders, often referred to as “smart money,” can cause noticeable price movements. Finally, general hype or increased media coverage surrounding the match could attract more traders and increase volume.