TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Valorant match between Nova Esports GC and SK Nebula scheduled for October 22, 2026. The result depends on which team secures a victory in this specific championship match. If either team wins the match as it occurs, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly.
The event determines the winner of a specific Valorant match between Nova Esports GC and SK Nebula in the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026, scheduled for October 22, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If Nova Esports GC wins the match, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if SK Nebula wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or its entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individuals trading contracts. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a team's chances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as new information and opinions are factored in. The market efficiently incorporates available information, leading to dynamic price adjustments.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Nova Esports vs. SK Nebula match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in team rosters could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by analyst predictions or social media buzz, can influence trading activity and move the market. Major upsets in other related matches could also create ripple effects, impacting the confidence in either team.