TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
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events
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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Kalshi:
63%
Which teams will be in the CFP Top 4?
Miami (FL)
- Kalshi
Miami (FL) - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Latest in Sports
Time left: 18h:58m:11s
Miami (FL) to be a top 4 ranked team on the Nov 3 CFP rankings
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Description
This event tracks whether specific college football teams appear in the top four rankings of the official College Football Playoff rankings on a designated date in the 2026-27 season, reflecting the competitive standing and potential playoff contention of these teams at that moment.
Kalshi
If Ohio St. is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penn St. is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If SMU is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nebraska is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida St. is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia Tech is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky is ranked top 4 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts agree on a few frontrunners, this market allows traders to express nuanced beliefs about the potential for upsets or unexpected developments. Discrepancies can arise from factors analysts might not fully account for, such as team injuries, coaching changes, or even subtle shifts in team morale. Observing how this market diverges from or aligns with expert opinions can offer valuable insights into the collective wisdom of the crowd and potential blind spots in conventional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders are constantly posting bids (buy orders) and asks (sell orders) for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts against an outcome, its price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official College Football Playoff rankings are released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which teams ultimately secure the top four spots in the rankings as determined by the CFP selection committee. The final rankings will be the definitive source for determining the winning contracts in this market. Traders should monitor official announcements from the CFP to stay informed about the resolution process.
Several key signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major upsets in games involving top-ranked teams, significant player injuries, or unexpected coaching changes are all likely to cause price fluctuations. Additionally, performance in conference championship games and the release of interim rankings by the CFP committee will heavily influence trader sentiment. Any news that alters perceptions of a team's strength of schedule or overall competitiveness could lead to substantial shifts in the odds, creating opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on changing market conditions.
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