TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Nov 3 CFP Rankings: Top 12 Ranked Teams
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Which teams will be top 12 on November 3, 2026?

Sep 1, 2026, 6:15 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,353
Volume 24h:
$815
216%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$1,111
273%

Texas

 - Kalshi

Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 20h:04m:20s

Texas to be a top 12 ranked team on the Nov 3 CFP rankings

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 73¢
72¢
N/A
$123
0.94%
12%
$85
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Ole Miss

Trade
90%
Yes 99¢No 30¢
29¢
N/A
$24
84%
84%
$18
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Ohio St.

Trade
79%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
$11
0%
0%
$6
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Alabama

Trade
53%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
$20
0%
0%
$20
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

LSU

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 96¢
41¢
N/A
$17
13%
13%
$17
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Texas Tech

Trade
30%
Yes 45¢No 95¢
40¢
N/A
$25
1%
45%
$21
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Tennessee

Trade
30%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
$3
0%
0%
$3
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Nebraska

Trade
11%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$94
0%
0%
$94
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Iowa

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$13
0%
62%
$8
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Oklahoma

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3
0%
0%
$1
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

BYU

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 91¢
91¢
N/A
$215
1,314%
1,314%
$210
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Miami (FL)

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 91¢
91¢
N/A
$211
1,756%
1,756%
$211
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Georgia

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 91¢
91¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Utah

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 91¢
91¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Penn St.

Trade
47%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$10
0%
0%
$10
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Oregon

Trade
41%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$60
0%
0%
N/A
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Louisville

Trade
26%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$11
0%
0%
$5
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Michigan

Trade
15%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$112
0%
0%
N/A
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Notre Dame

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Indiana

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Texas A&M

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Florida

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

USC

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Clemson

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20h 4m
Active
kalshi

Missouri

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20h 4m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks whether specific college football teams appear in the top 12 of the official rankings on a designated date. It reflects the competitive landscape and expectations for each team's performance at a pivotal moment in the season.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team is ranked among the top 12 in the official College Football Playoff rankings released on or closest to November 3 in the 2026-27 season. Rankings are verified using the official designations from the College Football Playoff committee. If no rankings are published specifically for November 3 during the defined time period, the resolution defaults to the next published rankings after that date. The operator explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the NCAA, and all team names and logos remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the College Football Playoff rankings tracks the current implied probabilities for each team to be ranked in the top twelve. You’ll find the current price, reflecting what traders are willing to pay for a ‘yes’ outcome (a team being ranked), along with a history of price movement. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $815, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,353. This provides a clear view of market activity and sentiment surrounding the upcoming rankings.

Currently, prediction market odds often diverge from initial analyst forecasts, particularly in the weeks leading up to the release of the College Football Playoff rankings. While pre-season polls and expert opinions provide a baseline, this market reflects a collective, real-money assessment of each team's chances. Analysts may emphasize narrative or subjective factors, whereas traders in this market are incentivized to translate their beliefs into financial positions, leading to a potentially more accurate, albeit dynamic, prediction. This difference can be especially pronounced for teams with uncertain trajectories or recent performance swings.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of a team being ranked in the top twelve. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s consensus probability of that outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, creating a dynamic and responsive market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can change rapidly based on trading activity and external events, offering opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official College Football Playoff rankings are released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on whether each team is included within the top twelve as determined by the CFP selection committee. Traders will be able to see the final rankings and the corresponding settlement of their contracts shortly after the official announcement. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Major upsets in key games, significant injuries to star players, and changes in team performance will all influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching changes or shifts in conference standings could also drive price movements. Additionally, any news or commentary from analysts and experts that alters perceptions of a team’s playoff potential can contribute to volatility. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on team rankings is crucial for anyone participating in this market.