TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Nov 3 CFP Rankings: #1 Ranked Team
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Nov 3 CFP Rankings: #1 Ranked Team

Sep 1, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,656
Volume 24h:
$494
1,698%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$3,280
18%

Miami (FL)

 - Kalshi

Miami (FL) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 17h:48m:58s

Miami (FL) to be the #1 ranked team on the Nov 3 CFP rankings

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami (FL)

Trade
96%
93%
Yes 99¢No 30¢
29¢
N/A
$820
143%
162%
$747
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Oregon

Trade
9%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$164
0%
0%
$122
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

USC

Trade
6%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Ole Miss

Trade
5%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9
0%
0%
$5
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Texas

Trade
3%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,200
0%
0%
$280
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

BYU

Trade
3%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2
0%
0%
$1
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Ohio St.

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,253
0%
2%
$703
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Notre Dame

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$642
0%
0%
$485
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Indiana

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$551
0%
0%
$87
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Alabama

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$0
0%
0%
$0
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Florida

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$0
0%
0%
$0
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

LSU

Trade
12%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$411
0%
0%
$381
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Georgia

Trade
7%
Yes 37¢No 100¢
37¢
N/A
$601
2%
2%
$469
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Texas Tech

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Texas A&M

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Oklahoma

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Michigan

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Tennessee

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Penn St.

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 48m
Active
kalshi

Clemson

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 48m
Active
Total markets: 20

Description

Speculators assess which college football team will claim the top spot in the rankings on a specific November date during the upcoming season. Their predictions hinge on each team's performance and standing relative to competitors as the season progresses. The outcome reflects public and expert opinion captured at that moment in time.

Kalshi

If Ohio St. is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penn St. is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU is ranked #1 on the Nov 3 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for this market tracks the real-time odds of various teams being ranked number one in the first College Football Playoff rankings release. You’ll find the current price for each potential outcome, a history of how those prices have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $494. The total volume traded on this market is $5,656, indicating the level of interest in predicting the top-ranked team in the College Football Playoff rankings. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting the chances of each team.

Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar conclusions regarding the likelihood of an event, but they can diverge. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to express their true beliefs. If a significant discrepancy appears, arbitrage opportunities may arise, attracting traders who attempt to profit from the difference. It's common to see prediction market probabilities shift more rapidly than sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official College Football Playoff committee’s first set of rankings, released on November 3rd, will determine which team is ranked number one. The market will settle to 100 for the team holding the top spot in those rankings, and 0 for all other teams. Traders should monitor the official CFP announcements for the final determination of this market.

Several factors could influence this market before Nov 3, 2026. Unexpected upsets in key college football games, significant injuries to star players on contending teams, and changes in coaching staff could all shift perceptions of a team's strength. Poll results, while not directly determining the CFP rankings, can influence public opinion and therefore trading activity in this market. Any news regarding potential NCAA investigations or academic eligibility concerns could also move the market. Strong performances by teams currently outside the top four could also increase their chances.