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Notre Dame to be a top 4 ranked team on the Nov 10 CFP rankings
$
Description
This event tracks whether specific college football teams appear in the top four rankings of the official College Football Playoff rankings released on November 10, 2026. The outcome depends solely on the official rankings published by the College Football Playoff committee, reflecting the competitive standing of teams at that specific midpoint in the season.
Kalshi
If Ohio St. is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penn St. is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If SMU is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nebraska is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida St. is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia Tech is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky is ranked top 4 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on statistical models and subjective evaluations, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of opinions and information. Discrepancies can arise due to factors not fully captured in conventional analyses, such as late-breaking news, team morale, or subtle strategic advantages. Observing these differences can provide valuable insights into the collective assessment of the College Football Playoff picture.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders, and the market price reflects the highest buy order and the lowest sell order. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out $1 if the specified team is in the top four, and $0 otherwise, when the market resolves.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final College Football Playoff rankings are released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which teams are ultimately selected by the committee to occupy the top four spots. The final rankings will be the determining factor for payouts, based on whether a team is included in the top four as announced by the CFP selection committee.
Several key signals could significantly impact this market. Major upsets in games involving top-ranked teams, injuries to key players, and shifts in team performance are all likely to cause price fluctuations. The release of each weekly College Football Playoff ranking will also be a major catalyst, as it provides updated information and influences traders’ perceptions. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team eligibility or potential NCAA investigations could also move this market before Nov 10, 2026.
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