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This event tracks whether specific college football teams will be ranked among the top 25 in the official College Football Playoff rankings released on November 10, 2026. The outcome depends solely on the published rankings, with no additional performance metrics or contextual factors considered.
If Ohio St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penn St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If SMU is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nebraska is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia Tech is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wisconsin is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If TCU is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colorado is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia Tech is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Boise St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Duke is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wake Forest is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulane is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCF is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego St. is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Northwestern is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maryland is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If California is ranked top 25 on the Nov 10 College Football Playoff rankings in the 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on subjective evaluations and pre-season expectations, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating real-time information and evolving perceptions of team strength. Discrepancies can arise from factors like injuries, unexpected upsets, or shifts in public sentiment, which are quickly reflected in trading activity. It's common to see the market adjust faster than consensus analyst rankings, offering a potentially more dynamic view of team prospects.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a team will be in the top 25 of the College Football Playoff Rankings. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that team being ranked. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price, suggesting a lower probability.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official College Football Playoff Rankings are released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which teams are included in the top 25 as determined by the committee’s official rankings. Traders will then be settled based on whether their contracts align with the final rankings. The final rankings are the sole determinant of the outcome for this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Major upsets during key games, significant player injuries, or changes in coaching staff are all likely to impact trading activity. Unexpected conference championship results, or even strong performances in rivalry games, can quickly shift perceptions of team strength. News regarding academic eligibility or NCAA investigations could also influence the market. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of a team achieving a top 25 ranking has the potential to drive price movement in this market.