TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Notts and Stockport, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent, with different thresholds defining a successful outcome.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Notts versus Stockport EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Resolution occurs if Notts wins by more than either 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Stockport wins by more than either 2.5 or 1.5 goals, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks. These conditions collectively define the conditions under which the event resolves positively for the respective outcomes. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the league governing body, and all related trademarks remain property of their original owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome of the Notts vs Stockport match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets incorporating information that isn't immediately reflected in sportsbook odds, especially as new developments emerge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Notts vs Stockport match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. The market's price dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their positions, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Notts vs Stockport match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match and verified by Kalshi’s processes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in team form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probability of different outcomes for the Notts vs Stockport match.