TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming soccer match between Notts and Oxford United. It focuses on how many goals the winning team might score beyond their opponent, reflecting expectations about the competitiveness and scoring dynamics of the game.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios for the Notts versus Oxford United professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Resolution is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Notts winning by more than 2.5 goals, Notts winning by more than 1.5 goals, Oxford United winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Oxford United winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market that meets its specified differential condition resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The governing body’s official result, as recognized by the EFL League One, will serve as the definitive source for score verification. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal association with the league or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can also be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Notts County vs Oxford United match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price tends to reflect the aggregated forecast of the crowd. Currently, the market is indicating a certain level of confidence in a particular outcome, as shown by the current price and trading volume.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Notts County vs Oxford United match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and their winnings or losses after the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Notts County or Oxford United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. As the match date approaches, any new information related to team lineups or player availability will be closely watched by traders.