TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:43 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game. The result is determined by which team wins within the standard match duration, or if the game ends equally. The event accounts for potential delays or cancellations by allowing for fair resolution adjustments.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Notts vs Oxford United professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time; if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts from determining outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there's a significant disagreement between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the difference. It’s important to note that these are independent assessments of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Notts County vs Oxford United match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market, reflecting the final outcome of the event.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from well-informed traders or large groups could cause price movements. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume can provide insights into potential catalysts that might shift the market's sentiment.