TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the excitement and unpredictability of live sports scoring dynamics.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. Each market defines a different threshold (e.g., over 0.5, over 1.5, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals meet or exceed that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often diverging from initial sportsbook offerings as more information and analysis are considered. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different total goal outcomes. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines yet. It’s a good practice to compare both to inform your own predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a continuous double auction, where traders can place bids and asks, and contracts are executed when there's a matching price. This dynamic process ensures that prices are constantly updated and responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Nottingham Forest versus Arsenal match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a reputable sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It's important to monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Nottingham Forest would likely cause significant movement. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or updates on team form and recent performance, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, as they can impact the style of play and scoring opportunities. Unexpected news related to refereeing assignments or stadium conditions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.