TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:18h:17m
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This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Nottingham Forest or Manchester City, will win the second half of a Premier League soccer match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets focus solely on goals scored during the second half of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC score more goals than Manchester City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC score more goals than Nottingham Forest FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC score more goals than Manchester City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC score more goals than Nottingham Forest FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of traders who have a financial incentive to be accurate. This market, specifically, may show a different probability distribution than a sportsbook, potentially identifying mispriced outcomes. Sportsbooks also factor in a 'vig' or commission, whereas prediction markets typically have lower fees, leading to more competitive pricing. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Manchester City vs. Nottingham Forest second half can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, impacting how quickly information is incorporated into the price. These differences in user behavior, volume, and platform mechanics contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official second-half result as declared by the governing football authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning outcome. The volume of this market is currently $0, and traders continue to refine their predictions as the match approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester City or Nottingham Forest would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence trader sentiment. In-game events during the first half, like early goals or red cards, will have an immediate and substantial effect on the market. Finally, broader football news or unexpected events could also contribute to price movements.