TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:20h:17m
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This group forecasts the outcome of the English Premier League soccer match between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City on November 7, 2026. Markets ask whether Nottingham Forest will win, Manchester City will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City professional EPL soccer match originally scheduled for November 7, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either team’s market occurs if that specific team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a draw after the same period. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 7, 2026, 17:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market refers to the Premier League match between Nottingham Forest (NOT) and Manchester City (MCI), scheduled for 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC. - NOT: If Nottingham Forest wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MCI: If Manchester City wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both NOT and MCI options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Premier League. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more informed consensus than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences, particularly when significant information isn't yet widely available. While sportsbooks may initially offer odds based on team rankings and historical data, this market incorporates real-time information and diverse perspectives from traders. It's possible to find discrepancies, and arbitrage opportunities, between the two.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Different user bases, varying trading fees, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders with specialized knowledge about football, while Kalshi could have a broader range of participants. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform influence price discovery. Even with the same underlying event, these factors can create separate, yet related, price signals for the Manchester City vs. Nottingham Forest match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Manchester City vs. Nottingham Forest match – whether Manchester City wins, Nottingham Forest wins, or the game ends in a draw – will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand how this market will settle. The outcome is based on the official result as reported by the governing football authorities.
Several signals could significantly shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Manchester City or Nottingham Forest would likely cause movement. Unexpected changes in team formations or managerial decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match comments from players or coaches, could impact predictions. A significant upset in either team’s previous match would also be a catalyst. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 8, 2026.