TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland
Volume:
$1,380,850
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Europa League match between Nottingham Forest FC and FC Midtjylland scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome of the match (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution criteria tied to official governing body statistics.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical postponement handling (markets remain open), and identical cancellation logic (no make-up game = market resolves based on outcome type). All three outcome types (Nottingham win, Midtjylland win, draw) are covered across both platforms with consistent criteria.
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA official statistics as recognized by the governing body; credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Nottingham Forest FC win resolves Yes on Polymarket win market and Kalshi omnibus market; No on all other outcome markets
- FC Midtjylland win resolves Yes on Polymarket win market and Kalshi omnibus market; No on all other outcome markets
- Draw resolves Yes on Polymarket draw market and Kalshi omnibus market; No on all win markets
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, Polymarket win markets resolve No, and Kalshi omnibus market resolves based on the cancellation outcome (treated as draw-equivalent for draw market)
- Resolution Source Timing: Primary source is UEFA official statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
- Scope Limitation: Resolution is based solely on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If official UEFA statistics are not available within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses credible reporting consensus at that 2-hour mark. If the match is postponed, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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