TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially exceeding the accuracy of traditional sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This creates a constantly updating assessment of the likelihood of either Nottingham Forest or Arsenal scoring first, driven entirely by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal match, as recorded by official match statistics. The result will be determined by the official game data, ensuring a clear and objective outcome. Any disputes will be resolved based on widely accepted sources of sports information.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nottingham Forest or Arsenal would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Team form, recent match results, and tactical changes announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-game commentary from influential football analysts could also contribute to price movements in this market. Major upsets in other relevant matches could also indirectly affect probabilities.