TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Frequently, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or even sportsbook lines, especially when there's significant uncertainty or inside information not yet reflected in public opinion. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and market dynamics.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, if traders sell shares, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match's timeline and goalscorers. Traders should ensure they understand the event's timing and potential for delays before participating.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nottingham Forest or Arsenal would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, particularly regarding starting lineups and attacking strategies, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from football analysts, could sway market sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price movements in this market.