TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price continually adjusts to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal during the second half of the match between Arsenal and Nottingham Forest. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Nottingham Forest would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially impacting the style of play and scoring opportunities. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analyses favoring one team over the other could influence trading activity and move the market.