TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Premier League game between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Nottingham Forest FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular result. Keep in mind that sportsbooks and this market have different cost structures and motivations, which can lead to these differences.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the first half. The price of each share reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time view of expectations. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half between Arsenal and Nottingham Forest will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key players for either Arsenal or Nottingham Forest, could significantly shift expectations. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even weather conditions on match day, may also cause movement. Unexpected lineup announcements, or even late-breaking news about player form, could all contribute to changes in the market's pricing as traders react to new information.