TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a men's college basketball game between Notre Dame and Villanova, focusing on which team will win the contest. The event reflects the competitive nature of collegiate sports, where fans and analysts often predict results ahead of time. The resolution depends solely on the final score of the game as officially recorded.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Notre Dame vs Villanova men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Notre Dame-Villanova game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective predictions about the Notre Dame-Villanova game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Notre Dame-Villanova game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Notre Dame or Villanova teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategy, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Public perception, driven by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, as can large volume trades from individual participants. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in this market.