TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Notre Dame and North Carolina in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores over the designated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds listed.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may adjust less quickly to new information. This market, driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, tends to incorporate news and insights rapidly. While sportsbooks may offer convenience and promotions, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and allow participants to profit from correct predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific team total occurring. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will rise. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the platform facilitates the matching of buyers and sellers to establish a fair and transparent price.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Notre Dame and North Carolina will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total points scored by both teams during the game. It’s important to note that any adjustments or official rulings regarding the game’s score will be reflected in the final resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Notre Dame or North Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching announcements or shifts in team strategy could also play a role. Finally, any major upsets in other games involving these teams leading up to the event could shift perceptions and influence the market.