TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
An upcoming college football game features two teams competing in a regular season match. The game's outcome will include the possibility of extended play beyond the standard duration if the scores are tied at the end of regulation time. This extension allows the teams an additional opportunity to determine a clear winner.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Notre Dame vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of overtime. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Notre Dame vs North Carolina game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether the Notre Dame vs North Carolina game goes into overtime. The price of these contracts reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential for overtime. The goal is to converge toward a true probability as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Notre Dame vs North Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the game officially goes into overtime according to official game statistics. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on the final game result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 3, 2026. Injury reports for key players on either the Notre Dame or North Carolina teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking news regarding team morale or coaching strategies might also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could influence trader behavior and alter the price of contracts in this market.