TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the third quarter of a specific college football game between Notre Dame and North Carolina. The outcome depends solely on the performance during that quarter, not the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the third quarter of the Notre Dame vs. North Carolina college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If North Carolina scores more points in that quarter, the market resolves to Yes for the North Carolina outcome. If Notre Dame scores more points, the market resolves to Yes for the Notre Dame outcome. If both teams score the same number of points, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. All outcomes share identical secondary rules: points scored only during the third quarter count, and if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, differences can exist due to varying levels of information and differing motivations between sports bettors and prediction market participants. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Notre Dame vs North Carolina game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions would likely cause significant movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, although this market represents independent trader views. Major shifts in betting action on Kalshi itself will also drive price changes.