TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:52 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of a college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Notre Dame vs North Carolina college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points); if the combined score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts in both markets. However, it's important to remember that both types of odds represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first quarter of the Notre Dame vs North Carolina game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. The official game statistics will serve as the source of truth for settlement, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Notre Dame or North Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive price fluctuations in this market. Game day developments, such as early scoring drives, will also have an immediate effect.