TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Notre Dame will win their college football game against Navy by more than 14.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Notre Dame winning by over 14.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the Notre Dame vs Navy game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. Keep a close eye on the outcome of the game itself on October 31, 2026, as that will directly determine whether Notre Dame exceeds the 14.5-point spread and resolves this market to ‘Yes’.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Notre Dame vs Navy college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Notre Dame wins by more than the specified margin in any given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable settlement considering all available information up to that point. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads, but it’s important to compare both to get a comprehensive view of expectations for the Notre Dame vs Navy game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Notre Dame vs Navy game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and any potential factors that could influence the final score as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Notre Dame or Navy would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any major upsets in other college football games that week could influence overall sentiment and impact trading activity in this market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, influencing traders’ decisions and driving price fluctuations.