TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Notre Dame versus BYU college football game will exceed 41.5. Currently, the probability of the game scoring over 41.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the total points scored in the game, as reported according to the rules specified in the resolution source. Participants should closely watch the Notre Dame versus BYU game itself, as the market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of 2026-10-18.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the final score of the game as played. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total points in the Notre Dame vs BYU game being over a certain threshold. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely outcome, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Notre Dame vs BYU game, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then receive their payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Notre Dame or BYU would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could shift the price, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the predicted total points.