TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of BYU and Notre Dame in an upcoming college football game, focusing specifically on how many yards each team gains through receptions. The outcomes depend entirely on the game's statistical results, making it a straightforward test of offensive efficiency in pass plays.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by either BYU or Notre Dame during the game, including any yards from the first or second overtime periods. Successful two-point conversions do not contribute to the receiving yards count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, markets remain open and resolve with the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold: if a team meets or exceeds its designated yardage mark, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market and sportsbook odds tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately predict the final receiving yardage total for the Notre Dame vs BYU game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total receiving yards will fall above or below a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome being true, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage totals for both Notre Dame and BYU are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game will be used to determine whether the total receiving yards exceed or fall short of the market’s threshold. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift trader sentiment. News regarding coaching strategies or potential adjustments to offensive schemes could also impact the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to price movements in this market as traders react to the latest developments.