TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The market centers on whether the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, will feature any overtime play. Overtime begins after the regulation time ends, with any subsequent periods counted toward the outcome. The market considers overtime periods initiated through legal snaps or two-point attempts, depending on the sequence of overtime.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different costs and risk profiles, which can contribute to these differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of overtime in the Notre Dame vs BYU game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Notre Dame vs BYU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the game officially goes into overtime according to the official game results. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on this verified outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Notre Dame or BYU would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the market. Furthermore, as the game progresses and early results become available, the market will react dynamically to the unfolding events, adjusting the probability of overtime based on the current score and game momentum. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also play a role, though the market primarily reflects trader actions.