TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second quarter of an upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and BYU. It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during a specific segment of the game, rather than the overall result.
If BYU wins the 2nd quarter of the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame wins the 2nd quarter of the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and motivations among bettors. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing market participants and risk appetites.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates on a 0-100 scale, where a price of 50 represents a 50% probability, and prices above or below 50 indicate higher or lower perceived probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the second quarter of the Notre Dame vs BYU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game statistics and verified by sources covering the event. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in weather conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trading activity. Additionally, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price fluctuations in this market.