TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of a college football game between Notre Dame and BYU, specifically analyzing how much one team might outscore the other in the second half of play. Each market represents a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For Notre Dame markets, a win by more than the specified margin in the second half triggers a 'Yes' resolution. For BYU markets, a BYU win by more than the specified margin triggers a 'Yes' resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count toward these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may suggest differing opinions on the likely outcome or an opportunity for arbitrage. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the Notre Dame vs BYU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The final point spread will be calculated by subtracting the final score of the BYU team from the final score of the Notre Dame team in the second half of the game. This will determine which contracts pay out and at what value.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Notre Dame or BYU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant showing by one team, could lead to substantial adjustments in the market price as traders react to the unfolding events and reassess the likely second-half spread.