TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Norwich and Watford. It evaluates whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Norwich and Watford in their EFL Championship match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time; goals from extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (e.g., over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.), with the outcome determined by comparing the actual total goals to that threshold. If the scored goals meet or exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Polls and analysts’ predictions for the total goals in the Norwich vs Watford match may also differ from both sportsbook and prediction market prices, highlighting the range of possible outcomes considered by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Norwich vs Watford match will be the determining factor. The final score, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authority, will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual total goals scored. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Norwich or Watford would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could shift prices as they react to new information or express strong convictions about the likely outcome.