TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Norwich and Southampton. It evaluates whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Norwich and Southampton in their EFL Championship match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the outcome set to 'Yes' if the actual total goals surpass the respective threshold. The resolution depends solely on the official match result as recorded by the EFL Championship governing body. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, while this market’s prices are determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge with expert analysis, the continuous trading in this market can lead to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of different outcomes as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The current price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Norwich vs Southampton match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regular play, as well as any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine which contracts payout and at what value.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Norwich or Southampton would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or any controversies surrounding the match, are also potential catalysts. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could quickly shift prices, especially closer to the Oct 14, 2026.