TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC?

Volume:
$276,974

Southampton

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 4:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Southampton

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91,617
N/A
N/A
$39,451
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Southampton FC

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,705
N/A
N/A
$25,376
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Norwich

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,409
N/A
N/A
$31,697
Settled
No
polymarket

Norwich City FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Norwich City FC and Southampton FC scheduled for October 14, 2026. Markets exist for Norwich winning, Southampton winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this case, while Kalshi's resolution is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the official result within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled with no makeup game, resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of data sources (official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the official result within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided. Relies on the game being played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Norwich City FC and Southampton FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Norwich vs Southampton professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the designated team wins the match within regular time, or if the match concludes in a tie for the 'Tie' market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event exclusively considers results from regular time and does not include outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on all sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Differences can arise due to varying information access, biases, or simply differing opinions on team strengths and potential game outcomes. While not always the case, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts than traditional odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can vary significantly, leading to discrepancies. For example, if a large amount of volume is concentrated on one outcome on Polymarket, it could drive up the price of that outcome relative to Kalshi, where trading activity is more balanced. These differences are a natural part of a decentralized prediction market ecosystem.