TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Norway vs. Wales
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Norway vs. Wales?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$7,570
6%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Norway

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:20h:43m

Norway wins

79%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 79¢ buys you 127 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $127 | Net Profit: $27 Multiplier: 1.27x | ROI: 27% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Norway

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 20h
Active
polymarket

Norway

Trade
78%
Yes 80¢No 25¢
5¢
$2,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 5¢
kalshi

Wales

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 20h
Active
polymarket

Wales

Trade
9%
1%
Yes 11¢No 94¢
5¢
$2,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 5¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 20h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Norway vs. Wales)

Trade
14%
Yes 16¢No 89¢
5¢
$2,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 5¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of the Norway vs. Wales UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets exist for Norway winning, Wales winning, or the game ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks these, creating a difference in how unresolved games are handled.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's market has more defined rules for cancellations or abandoned games, potentially leading to a 'No' resolution in scenarios where Kalshi might still rely on an official result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if Norway wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled or doesn't start by Nov 16, 2026, it resolves to 'No'. Detailed rules for abandoned games exist, potentially resolving to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Norway wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit rules for cancellation or abandonment are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Norway and Wales, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Norway wins the Norway vs Wales professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Wales wins the Norway vs Wales professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Norway vs Wales professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert analysis. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities across both types of markets, though transaction costs and market liquidity should be considered.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Norway vs. Wales match. Trading volume also plays a role; a larger volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed odds. The differing user bases and market dynamics contribute to the observed price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Norway vs. Wales match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The specific outcome that triggers resolution will align with the options available in this market. We rely on publicly available and verifiable data to determine the final result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Norway or Wales would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other qualifying matches that affect the overall tournament standings might also indirectly impact expectations for this match, leading to adjustments in the odds on Polymarket and Kalshi.