TOTAL VOLUME:
$141.8b
24H VOL:
$86,405,111
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,626,885,236
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,565,917,602
452,269
Markets across
34,849
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,912
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Jul 11, 6:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether specific players will score at least one goal during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, Harry Kane scoring 1+ goals carries a 16.0% probability, while Erling Haaland scoring 1+ goals stands at 14.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records of goals scored during regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods in the match scheduled for July 11, 2026. Watch for team lineups and injury reports released in the days leading up to the July 11, 2026 kickoff, as these will significantly influence which players take the field and their scoring opportunities.
Each market resolves Yes if the specified player records at least the stated number of goals during the entire Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Settlement is based solely on goals scored, not assists. Players are tracked at various goal thresholds: Antonio Nusa, Erling Haaland, Fredrik Aursnes, Martin Odegaard, Sander Berge, Declan Rice, Elliot Anderson, Harry Kane, and Jude Bellingham. If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by their recorded goal total.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Goalscorer markets on prediction platforms tend to price individual outcomes more granularly than mainstream sportsbooks, sometimes offering longer odds on less-favored players. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though liquidity and bet limits differ significantly between venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each goalscorer outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches trades in real time, and the last executed price becomes the current market rate. Traders can place limit orders to wait for their target price or use market orders for immediate execution. Kalshi's pricing mechanism ensures that odds reflect genuine trader conviction, with deeper liquidity typically available for the most likely scorers.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Norway vs England match concludes and the final goalscorer information is verified. The outcome is determined by official match records and credible public reporting of who scored during the fixture. Traders holding positions on the correct goalscorer receive their payout based on the odds at which they entered. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or postponed under extraordinary circumstances.
Team news and injury updates can significantly shift odds, especially if a key striker or regular goalscorer is ruled out. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp price moves as traders react to confirmed starting elevens. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments by either team's manager may also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and betting-market sentiment from other venues can create secondary waves of trading activity leading up to the match.