TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.9b
24H VOL:
$98,273,025
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,434,525
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,605,299,299
484,869
Markets across
36,635
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,879
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the exact final score of the Norway versus England FIFA World Cup match on Polymarket. The leading outcome, a 1-1 draw, currently stands at 100.0%, while a 3-2 Norway victory holds 0.1% probability. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used as backup if official results are not published within 2 hours of the match conclusion. Watch the final whistle on July 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, when the 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time will determine the settlement outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and England, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Norway vs. England match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves—creating a dynamic, supply-and-demand-driven rate. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information more efficiently and can reflect sharper consensus on true probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads or faster liquidity in some cases. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd on this market sees value that bookmakers have missed or mispriced.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact scoreline by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one specific final score; the price of a share reflects the collective probability traders assign to that outcome. As more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its price rises and its implied probability increases. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new developments, team news, and betting sentiment right up until the match begins.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the Norway versus England match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, verified against credible public sources covering the event. Winning shares are those corresponding to the actual final score; all other outcomes expire worthless. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is officially abandoned or rescheduled by the governing body, in which case the platform will communicate any changes to resolution timing.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical surprises—often triggers sharp repricing. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or betting syndicates can sway trader sentiment. Early match events, such as an early goal or red card, typically cause dramatic swings in the probabilities of remaining scorelines. Weather conditions, venue factors, and real-time momentum shifts also influence how traders reassess the likelihood of specific outcomes. Monitoring these signals helps you identify when the market may be overreacting or underreacting to new information.