TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes during a college football game between Northwestern and Oregon. The outcomes depend on whether specific teams reach certain thresholds of receiving touchdowns, with detailed rules clarifying what counts toward these totals.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team during the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, including any touchdowns scored in overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as one scored by the player who caught the pass; if another player recovers a fumble and scores, it does not count as a receiving touchdown, though if the original receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores, it does count. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all totals. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing risk assessments, information availability, or simply variations in opinion among market participants and sportsbook analysts. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team in the Northwestern vs Oregon game will be used to determine which outcome wins. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the completion of the game and verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant catalysts, as would any changes to the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could lead to increased volume and price movements in this market as traders adjust their positions.