TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Oregon will win their college football game against Northwestern by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives Oregon winning by over 1.5 points a 49.0% probability, while Oregon winning by over 2.5 points is at 46.0%. The market resolves based on the final score of the Northwestern vs Oregon game, as determined by the official game result, with adjustments for post-game penalties. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Oregon wins by more than 20.5 points in the game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Oregon wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold—for example, more than 20.5, 17.5, or 16.5 points—the corresponding "Yes" outcome resolves. Conversely, if Northwestern wins by more than the designated margin—for instance, over 1.5, 3.5, or 17.5 points—the respective "Yes" market resolves in their favor. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final confirmed score. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the game. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Northwestern versus Oregon football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team morale or significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could quickly impact the price of the Northwestern vs Oregon spread.