TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game between Northwestern and Oregon. Outcomes depend on which team scores more points in that specific half, with varying thresholds for victory margins.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that margin in the second half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the game's outcome. If a significant number of traders believe Oregon will cover the spread, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. This difference can be particularly noticeable as new information emerges closer to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the second half of the Northwestern vs Oregon game. The market will settle based on whether Oregon wins the second half by more than the spread, exactly the spread, or less than the spread, as officially recorded by the game’s governing body. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Northwestern or Oregon would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, even if it doesn't directly impact the second-half spread, can influence expectations and lead to adjustments in the market price. Unexpected coaching decisions could also play a role.